Fresh polling paints a challenging picture for Donald Trump’s presidency. His overall approval rating now sits around 40%, slipping from earlier in the month. Other recent national polls show him hovering closer to 45% approval, but still below the halfway mark needed to signal majority support. Overall, Trump currently sits in negative territory, with more Americans disapproving than approving of his job performance.
The Drivers Behind the Shift
A key factor behind weakening approval is the economy. Rising cost-of-living pressures are leading many Americans to express frustration, giving Trump low marks on inflation and household expenses.
Additional areas weighing on public sentiment include:
- Economy: Low approval, particularly around inflation and everyday costs
- Immigration: Mixed reviews, slightly underwater overall
- Foreign policy and trade: Approval in the 30s-40s range, with skepticism growing
- Government shutdown politics: Many voters point fingers at Republicans, influencing views on Trump’s leadership
What Different Groups Think
Trump remains highly popular within the Republican base, who continue to back him enthusiastically. However, support among Independents remains notably lower, often landing in the 30% range—an important segment that helps determine the national mood.
Historical Perspective & What It Signals
Trump’s approval ratings remain similar to his first term—stable among supporters but historically low among the broader public. At this point in a presidency, his numbers are considered weak by modern standards, showing signs of political wear and public fatigue.
Approval ratings matter: when a president struggles to win majority support, their party often faces challenges in future elections and policy battles.
Key Trends to Watch
- Movement in economic sentiment, particularly around inflation
- Independent and suburban voter reactions
- Impact of government shutdown negotiations
- Polls taken after major policy decisions or economic updates
Bottom Line
Donald Trump’s latest approval ratings show a nation divided, with loyal backing from his core supporters but increasing skepticism from the middle. With approval stuck in the low-40s and disapproval higher, he faces a difficult road ahead in shaping public perception and political momentum.
